AEW All Out 2026 Results Predictions: Will Ospreay vs. Jon Moxley and Full Card Analysis

AEW All Out 2026 Results Predictions: Will Ospreay vs. Jon Moxley and Full Card Analysis. AEW All Out 2026 is finally here, and the Chicago-area event has developed into one of the biggest nights on the AEW calendar. Taking place September 26 at NOW Arena, the pay-per-view brings championship gold, future title opportunities, faction warfare, a Chicago Street Fight, a three-way ladder match and one enormous mystery. The TBS Championship will be defended through an Open Challenge, while the AEW World Championship sits at the center of the entire event with Will Ospreay preparing for his first defense against Jon Moxley.

There is also plenty happening underneath the headline matches. The Tailgate Brawl will feature two contests before the main show begins, while the main card contains nine matches that could influence the AEW title picture heading into WrestleDream. From emerging teams looking for championship opportunities to established stars defending major titles, All Out has something at stake throughout the night. Here is the complete AEW All Out 2026 Preview & Predictions, moving through the card from the matches generating less anticipation toward the contests carrying the biggest stakes.

AEW All Out 2026 Tailgate Brawl Pre-Show

The Tailgate Brawl will officially begin the All Out festivities with two matches. Both contests feature ongoing stories and several recognizable names, but they also have the job of building momentum for the main pay-per-view.

Jack Perry vs. Katsuyori Shibata

Jack Perry wanted Samoa Joe. Instead, The Opps gave him Katsuyori Shibata. Perry’s request for a match against Joe was rejected, with the stipulation that he must first defeat Shibata before getting closer to the confrontation he originally wanted. That makes this more than a random pre-show singles match. Perry is being forced to prove that he belongs in the same conversation as one of AEW’s most established names. Shibata, meanwhile, becomes the latest obstacle in Perry’s attempt to force his way toward Joe. (Cageside Seats)

The match should be physical from the opening bell. Shibata can force Perry into a striking and grappling battle, while Perry will need to rely on his speed, creativity and willingness to take risks. The biggest question is what happens after the match. If Perry wins, AEW has a natural reason to continue building toward Samoa Joe. If Shibata defeats him, Perry’s immediate momentum disappears. Expect Perry to survive a difficult fight rather than dominate it.

Predicted Winner: Jack Perry

The Bang Bang Gang vs. The Death Riders & The Dogs – Eight-Man Tornado Tailgate Brawl

The second Tailgate Brawl brings together Jay White, Ace Austin, Austin Gunn and Colten Gunn against Wheeler Yuta, Daniel Garcia, David Finlay and Clark Connors. The match developed after the Bang Bang Gang called out the Death Riders and The Dogs, eventually leading to an eight-man confrontation being scheduled for the All Out pre-show. With three groups involved, this is less about a traditional tag-team structure and more about settling a collection of faction-based tensions. (Cageside Seats)

The Tornado format should immediately create chaos because everyone can be involved simultaneously. Jay White gives the Bang Bang Gang a major strategic weapon, while Finlay, Connors, Yuta and Garcia bring plenty of physicality to the opposing side. The match could spill outside the ring quickly, with short bursts of action rather than long traditional tags. Because the pre-show needs to establish the atmosphere for All Out, expect a fast and chaotic contest that leaves the Chicago crowd ready for the main card.

Predicted Winner: The Bang Bang Gang

AEW All Out 2026 Main Card

The main card contains nine matches and almost every one carries a championship or future-title implication. The order below gradually increases the stakes, beginning with the matches that have the least immediate impact and building toward the AEW World Championship main event.

Darby Allin & Steven Borden vs. Kyle Fletcher & Kevin Knight – AEW World Tag Team Championship No. 1 Contenders Match

Darby Allin and Steven Borden will face Kyle Fletcher and Kevin Knight with a future AEW World Tag Team Championship opportunity on the line. The match gives Borden another important opportunity to establish himself while teaming with one of AEW’s most recognizable stars. Fletcher and Knight have also been put together by the Don Callis Family, giving them an interesting dynamic heading into the contest. The winners will move directly into the AEW World Tag Team Championship picture.

Allin’s experience should make him the natural leader, while Borden’s physicality will be tested against a more established team. Fletcher and Knight can use their chemistry to isolate Borden, forcing Allin to make the save repeatedly. However, that strategy could leave them vulnerable to one of Allin’s sudden attacks. The match should also give Borden several opportunities to make a statement. If AEW wants to accelerate his development, having him help Allin secure the victory would be an effective way to do it.

Predicted Winner: Darby Allin & Steven Borden

Andrade El Idolo vs. PAC – AEW National Championship

Andrade El Idolo enters All Out as the AEW National Champion after successfully defending his championship against Daniel Garcia. His celebration was interrupted by the Death Riders, allowing PAC to step forward and challenge him for the title. The rivalry also carries some history because Andrade and PAC previously met twice in AEW, with each wrestler winning once. That gives the championship match a genuine competitive foundation rather than making PAC feel like a challenger chosen at random. (Cageside Seats)

The in-ring styles should complement each other extremely well. Andrade can control the pace with his technical offense, while PAC can turn the match into a frantic battle through his kicks, submissions and aerial attacks. The Death Riders’ involvement around PAC could also create an outside variable, although Andrade will be determined to avoid losing the title because of interference. Expect several near-falls before Andrade finds a counter to PAC’s most dangerous offense and keeps the National Championship.

Predicted Winner: Andrade El Idolo

The Brawling Birds vs. Divine Dominion – AEW Women’s World Tag Team Championship Chicago Street Fight

Jamie Hayter and Alex Windsor will defend the AEW Women’s World Tag Team Championship against Megan Bayne and Lena Kross under Chicago Street Fight rules. The stipulation immediately changes the nature of the championship rematch. Instead of relying solely on traditional tag-team wrestling, all four competitors can turn the match into a fight, making weapons and the surrounding environment important parts of the contest. The challengers also have the opportunity to use the stipulation to neutralize the champions’ conventional strengths.

This should become increasingly physical as the match progresses. Hayter is naturally suited to a fight, while Windsor can provide the champions with another powerful offensive option. Bayne’s size could become especially important once weapons enter the equation, while Kross can create openings through aggressive attacks. The champions’ biggest advantage is their ability to work together under pressure. If they can prevent Divine Dominion from isolating either member, they should have enough experience to survive the chaos and retain the championships.

Predicted Winner: The Brawling Birds

Swerve Strickland & The New Level vs. Hangman Page, Bandido & Brody King – AEW World Trios Championship

Swerve Strickland, Kofi and Austin Creed will defend the AEW World Trios Championship against Hangman Page, Bandido and Brody King. The matchup immediately brings Swerve and Hangman into the same ring again, continuing one of AEW’s most significant long-term rivalries. Bandido and Brody King give Hangman’s side two very different weapons, while Swerve has the established chemistry of The New Level alongside him. The championship therefore becomes the prize sitting between several wrestlers with different motivations.

The champions should try to isolate Bandido or Hangman before the challengers can establish their rhythm. Brody King is the major physical threat because his power can completely change the pace of the match. Bandido provides the opposite dynamic, using speed to create openings. Swerve will need to keep the match organized because a prolonged one-on-one confrontation with Hangman could allow the challengers to take control. The champions’ teamwork should ultimately help them survive the challengers’ different styles and keep the titles.

Predicted Winner: Swerve Strickland & The New Level

Willow Nightingale vs. Thekla – AEW Women’s World Championship No. 1 Contenders Match

Willow Nightingale and Thekla will battle for the right to challenge Mercedes Moné for the AEW Women’s World Championship at WrestleDream. The match therefore has consequences beyond All Out itself. Mercedes is currently unavailable after her injury changed the original plans for the pay-per-view, making the winner of this contest the wrestler who will stand across from the champion when she returns.

The match should revolve around Willow’s strength against Thekla’s unpredictability. Willow can overpower opponents and absorb significant punishment, but Thekla has repeatedly shown that she is comfortable turning a match into an uncomfortable fight. Her history with Mercedes also makes her an intriguing potential challenger. Willow would bring an established championship rivalry, while Thekla would create a fresher direction. Expect both women to target their opponent’s weaknesses rather than simply trading big moves until one falls.

Predicted Winner: Thekla

Persephone vs. Mystery Challenger – TBS Championship Open Challenge

Persephone’s TBS Championship Open Challenge is unlike every other match on the All Out card because one half of the match remains unknown. After defending the championship against Hyan, Persephone announced that she would put the title on the line at All Out. Hyan, Thunder Rosa and Maya World have been specifically ruled out from answering the challenge, leaving the door open for another wrestler to step forward in Chicago.

That uncertainty will shape the entire match. The identity of the challenger could immediately determine whether this becomes a traditional title defense or a major surprise moment. The opponent could be an existing AEW wrestler, an outside name or a new arrival, but none should be presented as confirmed until AEW reveals the challenger. Once the bell rings, Persephone’s championship experience should give her an advantage. The mystery challenger can create the shock, but the champion can still walk away with the gold.

Predicted Winner: Persephone

Kazuchika Okada vs. Tommaso Ciampa – AEW International Championship

Kazuchika Okada will defend the AEW International Championship against Tommaso Ciampa in a singles match that could quietly become one of the strongest wrestling contests on the card. Ciampa targeted Okada and made his intentions clear, eventually securing the championship opportunity. The matchup gives Ciampa a chance to establish himself against one of AEW’s most accomplished wrestlers, while Okada has the opportunity to continue strengthening his International Championship reign. (Pro Wrestling Dot Net)

The key will be the contrast between Okada’s calculated approach and Ciampa’s aggression. Ciampa will likely try to make the champion uncomfortable early, attacking with heavy strikes and refusing to give Okada room to settle into his rhythm. Okada, however, has spent years competing in championship matches where patience can be as important as offense. Expect Ciampa to survive the Rainmaker attempt at least once before Okada finds the opening for the decisive sequence.

Predicted Winner: Kazuchika Okada

Adam Copeland & Christian Cage vs. FTR vs. The Young Bucks – AEW World Tag Team Championship Three-Way Ladder Match

Adam Copeland and Christian Cage will defend the AEW World Tag Team Championship against FTR and The Young Bucks in a three-way ladder match. The champions originally challenged both teams, turning the title defense into one of the most star-studded tag-team matches on the card. The Young Bucks bring their extensive ladder-match history, while FTR bring years of experience working high-pressure championship matches. (All Elite Wrestling)

The ladder stipulation makes the result extremely difficult to predict because domination does not guarantee victory. One team can control most of the match and still lose if another competitor reaches the championship at the perfect moment. Expect temporary alliances, surprise attacks and multiple ladder climbs. Copeland and Cage will need to divide their attention between two challengers, while FTR can use their teamwork to create openings. The Young Bucks could be the wild card, but FTR’s ability to operate efficiently under pressure could ultimately get them to the titles first.

Predicted Winner: FTR

AEW World Championship — Will Ospreay vs. Jon Moxley

Will Ospreay’s first AEW World Championship defense has been building since his historic victory over Kenny Omega at All In. Ospreay then personally selected Jon Moxley as his first challenger, giving the match an emotional foundation beyond the championship itself. Moxley was the last man to pin Ospreay in AEW, while their history has included moments of mentorship and respect. Now, the former student must defend the company’s biggest championship against the man whose influence helped shape part of his journey. (All Elite Wrestling)

The story became even more significant when Moxley accepted the challenge and the two men were repeatedly placed in situations where their relationship could break down. Ospreay has spent considerable time proving that he can operate at the highest level of AEW, but Moxley represents a completely different kind of challenge. This is the first major test of Ospreay’s championship reign, and defeating Moxley would immediately give the new champion another defining victory.

Winner – Will Ospreay

What Might Happen

Ospreay should try to make this a fast-paced contest. His speed and aerial offense can force Moxley to constantly change position, while his counter-wrestling can prevent Moxley from establishing a prolonged physical assault. Moxley, however, will want to slow everything down. Expect him to target Ospreay’s body, cut off his movement and turn the match into the kind of fight where endurance becomes more important than athleticism.

The Death Riders remain an obvious potential X-factor. Moxley has allies around him, while Ospreay has increasingly demonstrated that he can survive without relying on a faction to win his biggest matches. If interference becomes an issue, the referee and surrounding officials could become crucial. Still, the most compelling finish is Ospreay overcoming the environment and defeating Moxley cleanly, proving that the AEW World Championship is now his responsibility.

The Long-Term Fallout

A Moxley victory would completely change the direction of AEW’s main-event scene. The Death Riders would immediately become central to the World Championship picture, while Ospreay would have to fight his way back toward the title he only recently won.

Ospreay retaining, however, would establish something equally important. His All In victory would no longer feel like simply the culmination of a long journey. It would become the beginning of a new AEW era built around him as champion.

The final Dynamite before All Out reinforced that idea. Ospreay scored a major victory alongside Speedball Mike Bailey, while Moxley also entered the event with momentum. Their final confrontation was kept relatively focused, ensuring the championship match remained the biggest unresolved issue heading into Chicago.

Predicted Winner: Will Ospreay — AND STILL AEW World Champion

Wildcards, Potential Returns & Swerves

All Out has several natural opportunities for surprises, but the biggest one is already built into the card. Persephone’s TBS Championship Open Challenge deliberately leaves the identity of the challenger unrevealed. AEW has confirmed that several names are barred from answering, but that still leaves considerable room for an unexpected opponent. (Wrestling Attitude)

• The TBS Championship Open Challenge: The mystery challenger could completely change the direction of the women’s division.
• The World Championship: The Death Riders could become involved if Moxley begins losing control of the main event.
• The ladder match: Three teams and a ladder stipulation create plenty of opportunities for an unexpected title change or post-match confrontation.
• WrestleDream setup: Thekla vs. Willow determines the next challenger for Mercedes Moné.
• Jack Perry and Samoa Joe: Perry’s result against Shibata could immediately determine whether the Joe story continues.

Final AEW All Out 2026 Predictions

AEW All Out 2026 has been built around consequences. The pre-show establishes several ongoing stories, while the main card moves through championship defenses and future title opportunities before reaching the AEW World Championship. The TBS Open Challenge provides the mystery, the ladder match supplies the chaos, and Okada vs. Ciampa could provide one of the night’s most technically compelling contests.

Ultimately, the biggest question is whether Will Ospreay can survive his first major AEW World Championship defense. Jon Moxley is an opponent who knows Ospreay extremely well, and that familiarity could make this one of the toughest challenges of Ospreay’s reign. However, the prediction is that Ospreay survives and leaves Chicago still carrying the AEW World Championship.

The full AEWTalkDown predictions are Jack Perry, The Bang Bang Gang, Darby Allin & Steven Borden, Andrade El Idolo, The Brawling Birds, Swerve Strickland & The New Level, Thekla, Persephone, Kazuchika Okada, FTR and Will Ospreay.

Now the biggest question for AEW fans is simple: Who will answer Persephone’s TBS Championship Open Challenge, and which match will steal the show at All Out?

For more breaking AEW news, match results and in-depth wrestling analysis, visit AEWTalkDown.com and subscribe to AEWTalkDownEng on YouTube.